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It is October. Your lake may not have gotten the memo.
Much of the South spent late summer baking. NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center says the region has been “extremely hot and acutely dry” for the past 6 to 10 weeks. In Georgia, tournament angler Karl Pingry told GON that Lake Sinclair is fishing slow and should turn on once the water drops to about 80 degrees. Farther north, Maryland DNR reports cooling water, dry conditions and bass sliding off dying grass to nearby wood and brush.
So forget the calendar. Get a water temperature reading, then pick your baits from the matching section below.
The timing works in your favor. Amazon’s Prime Big Deal Days runs Oct 6-7, and early deals are already live. Nine of the picks below were 25 to 33 percent off list when we checked on Oct 1. Prices move fast, so check before you buy.
Water Above 75 Degrees: Summer Is Not Over Yet
This is a lot of the South right now. Bass are still on summer spots, but baitfish are starting to bunch up. Fish early and late, and watch for surface activity.
Booyah Pad Crasher Frog
If your lake has grass, mats or pads, a hollow-body frog is still one of the best big-fish baits going. Work it over the thickest cover you can find and wait a beat before you set the hook. The Booyah Pad Crasher walks easily and comes through slop without hanging up.
Heddon Super Spook Jr.
When shad start flicking on the surface at first light, throw a walking topwater. The Super Spook Jr. has a smaller profile that matches fall shad better than the full-size Spook. Walk it fast across points and creek mouths. On sale at press time.
Bill Lewis Rat-L-Trap
The lipless crankbait may be the best fall bait ever made. Cast it far, reel it fast and cover water until you hit a school. When one bites, keep casting to the same spot. The Rat-L-Trap in Chrome Blue Back is a classic shad color. On sale at press time.
Water 65 to 75 Degrees: The Shad Migration
This is prime time. Shad push into creeks and pockets, and bass follow them shallow. Start at the mouth of a creek and work your way back until you find bait.
Strike King KVD 1.5 Squarebill
A squarebill bounces off rocks, stumps and dock posts, and that deflection triggers strikes. Crash it into anything you can find in 2 to 5 feet of water. The KVD 1.5 in Natural Shad is one of the most popular squarebills on the market.
Booyah Blade Spinnerbait
Windy day, stained water, shallow cover? Throw a spinnerbait. Slow-roll it along laydowns and grass edges, or burn it just under the surface. The Booyah Blade with double willow blades throws a lot of flash, which reads like a pod of shad.
Strike King Mini Pro Buzz
Fall shad are small, and this 1/8-ounce buzzbait matches them. Keep it moving along banks, docks and grass lines, especially on cloudy mornings. The Mini Pro Buzz is cheap enough to tie on and lose without a second thought. On sale at press time.
Strike King Rage Swimmer
A paddletail swimbait on a weighted hook catches fish at every depth. Reel it slow and steady through schools of bait. The Rage Swimmer comes in a long list of colors. For fall, pick white or a shad pattern.
Water Below 65 Degrees: The Northern Bite
Northern lakes and highland reservoirs are already cooling. Bass feed hard before winter, but they get pickier as the water drops. Slow down a little.
Berkley Stunna Jerkbait
A jerkbait is deadly once the water drops into the low 60s and 50s. Jerk, jerk, pause, and let the pause do the work. The Berkley Stunna darts hard side to side and looks like a dying baitfish. On sale at press time.
Rapala DT-6
This balsa crankbait dives to about 6 feet. Grind it along secondary points, riprap and channel swings. The Rapala DT-6 has a tight wobble that cooling-water bass like. On sale at press time.
Gear Deals Worth Grabbing Now
- Abu Garcia Max X baitcaster: a solid entry-level low-profile reel. On sale at press time.
- Lew’s Classic Pro SLP baitcaster: a step up in smoothness and casting distance. On sale at press time.
- Seaguar Red Label fluorocarbon, 12 lb: low stretch and hard to see, built for cranks and jerkbaits. On sale at press time.
- Bubba Smart Fish Scale: a digital scale with a built-in clip. Know what that big one actually weighed. On sale at press time.
- Rapala floating fish gripper: it floats if you drop it. Every boat and kayak needs one. On sale at press time.
Where to Throw It This Month
- Creek mouths and the first bend inside. Shad move in, and bass follow.
- Wind-blown points. Wind pushes bait, and bait pulls bass.
- Docks in the back half of creeks. Shade plus bait is hard to beat.
- Low-water structure. On drought-stricken lakes, stumps, rock piles and old channels that usually sit too deep are now within casting reach. Mark them while you can see them.
- The bait itself. No shad, no bass. Look for birds, surface flicks and bait balls on your electronics.
El Niño Could Flip Things Fast
NOAA’s latest El Niño update gives a “greater than 90% chance of a very strong event” this fall and winter. That usually means more rain across the southern U.S. A strong front or a heavy rain can drop water temperatures quickly. When it happens, slide down one section in this guide and adjust.
Final Thought
Fall rewards anglers who keep moving. Find the bait, match the water temperature and do not marry one spot. Pick two or three baits from the right section, grab them while they are on sale, and go fish.



